I had posted an article in 2010 that He will win solidly if GE 13 is
called any month within that year and I still hold my believe till the
eve of Bersih 3.0. Even with His statement of 'crushed bodies & lost
lives' and rumors that His special team reporting to Him that He may
lose the 13 GE, I still believe He will win solidly.
But everything seems to fall into place post Bersih 3.0 indicating that He is indeed fearful of losing the 13 GE.
Surveys after surveys giving the same results that His popularity is
gaining traction and many voters are returning to His stable. This is true
but what we understand is that most surveys were carried out via
telephone. I still accept the results and reading from political expert
opinion I believe He will win solidly and that is up till the eve of
Bersih 3.0
A Fluid Situation
I stop wasting my time on twitter after seeing how those cybertroopers
armchair critics can spin, distort and lie to get into His good book and
strongly supported by the MSM, even crowning HIM as 'sensational twitterer'.
When and where do you go to get the most accurate political survey? Let
me tell you where I went. Pasar malam (night markets) and early morning
wet markets, these are the people who are seldom interested in politics
but still are aware whats happening around them.
Talking to them face to face can somehow tell you what were inside their
minds even if they lied. Of course not all those you approached are
willing to share their political views but you still get a decent 6 out
of 10 people willing.
It is true that He is gaining popularity and the various surveys
confirmed that. It is also true that those who voted the opposition in
308 are now considering voting Him. But, there are also those who voted
the ruling government in 308 that will not be voting them again.
Generally, most were taken in by His disbursement of CASH but many do
not believe or understand His never-ending alphabet soup – GTP, ETP,
PTP, NEM, NKEA, NKRA, NEAC, EPP,....Sadly for Him He can't contest in
every seats in the country and majority of the voters are waiting to see
who their candidates will be in their respective constituency before
deciding which party to vote.
So, by being popular individually with a high of 69% may reap in a few
extra votes and this conclude that He is a few points ahead but the
overall situation is fluid. I believe that this fluidness is the cause
of concern for Him and interpreted by His special team as 'may lose'.
Creating And Finding Excuses To Avoid GE 13?
The only way to call off GE 13 is when the country is in turmoil!
Is He planning to avoid GE 13 in as early as 2010 when calling for
'crushed bodies and lost lives'? Initially my thought was that He was
just instilling fear but subsequent happenings that followed indicated
that not only fear but a message to carry it out when necessary.
Later on, His speech with racial tone at Pekida to rile up more Malay
support and His silence over Perkasa and MSM, especially Utusan
irresponsible racist and religious reports and statements.
While He kept silence, on the ground, gangsterism and hooliganism
provocations were at work with the latest report of riot at Merlimau.
All these are to create tension among the rakyat and they are just
waiting for the rakyat to get impatient and retaliate back when all hell
will break loose. Luckily the rakyat are not responding back physically
but waiting patiently to vent their anger at the ballot box, is He
willing to let this happen?
One salvo after another to get the rakyat to response to their
gangsterism & hooliganism provocations but to their dismay the
rakyat are smart enough.
The best opportunity came when Bersih 3.0 was held. There is no reason
to stop Bersih from holding the rally at Dataran Merdeka but they went
ahead to get the court order banning anyone from entering. WHY?
The chaos that ensued after 3pm that day is now under investigation. The
statement from various authorities were that 'rioters' breached the
barricade and they are doing a great job to contain the 'rioters'. But
if you were there on that day or reading from other reliable news
reports and those who wrote their experiences facing the tear gas and
water cannon, journalists attacked and the way they rampaged through the
city trying to catch as many as possible, you will realised that the
authorities claim were incomplete.
The way they handled the supposedly called rioters who breached the
barricade was indeed trying to create more chaos. I could not leave
after the rally when the LRT stations were closed, no buses and taxis. I
call it an 'entrapment'. You can read my Bersih 3.0 story here.
The best opportunity they had was Bersih 3.0 but failed again because
the rakyat do not have any intention at all to start a riot nor
overthrowing the government.
Seeing that failure they changed their script with ex IGPs claiming of
communist presence and mimicking His statement that Bersih 3.0 rally was
trying to overthrow the government. The bombarding and demonisation
campaign against Bersih 3.0 continue till today while His people are
hard at work trying to link all sorts of bad things that Bersih 3.0
were, in order to find it guilty and getting the rakyat to hate and
reject it.
Next, He tried using His party anniversary to show He can gather a
bigger crowd but failed yet again. Now He has no choice but to target
individuals. Ambiga is now being harassed, opposition leader Anwar
charged together with Azmin and Badrul hoping that their supporters will
rise in anger. We can expect more gangsterism and hooliganism
provocations and He will continue to remain silent.
Lastly, do you see what He meant when He compared the coca cola secret
recipe in not revealing the polling date? Coca cola recipe has been kept
secret for over a century and will never be revealed. Is He trying to
hint that GE 13 will never happened?
Whatever He may try to do, the rakyat must remain calm and not retaliate
to whatever provocation physically. Be patient, just leave the scene of
any provocation, nobody is calling you a coward. We only have less than
a year when the 5 years term is up and if we remain tolerant and ride
through their gangsterism & hooliganism provocations He will have no
choice but to dissolve parliament and call for GE 13.
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